Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 43.59%. A win for Tokyo Verdy had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Tokyo Verdy win was 0-1 (8.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Gamba Osaka	Draw	Tokyo Verdy
43.59%	25.97%	30.44%

Both teams to score 52.74%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.62%

51.38%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.8%

73.2%

Gamba Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.56%

23.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.55%

57.45%

Tokyo Verdy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.9%

31.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.57%

67.43%

Score Analysis

Gamba Osaka 43.59%

Tokyo Verdy 30.44%

Draw 25.97%

Gamba Osaka	Draw	Tokyo Verdy
1-0 @ 10.57% 2-1 @ 8.96% 2-0 @ 7.67% 3-1 @ 4.33% 3-0 @ 3.71% 3-2 @ 2.53% 4-1 @ 1.57% 4-0 @ 1.35% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.98% Total : 43.59%	1-1 @ 12.35% 0-0 @ 7.29% 2-2 @ 5.23% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.97%	0-1 @ 8.52% 1-2 @ 7.21% 0-2 @ 4.97% 1-3 @ 2.81% 2-3 @ 2.04% 0-3 @ 1.94% Other @ 2.95% Total : 30.44%