J1 League
Dec 6, 2025 5.00am
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Keita Endo 45'+1' goal
  • Sei Muroya 60' yellowcard
  • goal Matheus Purcelo Blecha de Moraes 9'
  • yellowcard Michael Fitzgerald 33'
  • yellowcard 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Eiji Shirai 90'+2'

FC Tokyo vs Albirex Niigata - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Tokyo

All competitions
Last game
Nov 30, 2025 5.00am
Vissel Kobe 0 - 0 FC Tokyo
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Marcelo Ryan

Albirex Niigata

All competitions
Last game
Nov 30, 2025 5.00am
Albirex Niigata 1 - 3 Reysol
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Motoki Hasegawa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 47.52%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 0-1 (7.22%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result

FC Tokyo 47.52%
Draw 24.65%
Albirex Niigata 27.84%

Both Teams to Score: 

55.41%

Goals

Over 2.5 52.85%
Under 2.5 47.15%
Over 3.5 30.62%
Under 3.5 69.39%
Over 4.5 15.1%
Under 4.5 84.9%

FC Tokyo Goals

Over 0.5 80.09%
Under 0.5 19.91%
Over 1.5 47.96%
Under 1.5 52.04%

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 0.5 69.19%
Under 0.5 30.81%
Over 1.5 32.92%
Under 1.5 67.08%

Score analysis

FC Tokyo 47.52%
Draw 24.64%
Albirex Niigata 27.84%
FC Tokyo
1-0 @ 9.9%
2-1 @ 9.41%
2-0 @ 7.99%
3-1 @ 5.06%
3-0 @ 4.3%
3-2 @ 2.98%
4-1 @ 2.04%
4-0 @ 1.74%
4-2 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 47.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.65%
0-0 @ 6.13%
2-2 @ 5.54%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.64%
Albirex Niigata
0-1 @ 7.22%
1-2 @ 6.86%
0-2 @ 4.25%
1-3 @ 2.69%
2-3 @ 2.17%
0-3 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 27.84%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 14
May 3, 2025 6.00am
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT Denka Big Swan Stadium
  • Keisuke Kasai 66' goal
  • Keisuke Kasai 66' goal
  • Soya Fujiwara 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Soya Fujiwara 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Danilo Gomes 90'+9' goal
  • Danilo Gomes 90'+9' goal
  • goal Marcelo Ryan 8'
  • goal Marcelo Ryan 8'
  • goal Kei Koizumi 52'
  • goal Kei Koizumi 52'
  • goal Marcelo Ryan 82'
  • goal Marcelo Ryan 82'
J1 League Gameweek 23
Jul 13, 2024 11.00am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Grenada National Stadium
  • Keita Endo 6' goal
  • Yasuki Kimoto 42' yellowcard
  • Reon Nozawa 78' goal
  • yellowcard Ryo Endo 24'
  • yellowcard Yuto Horigome 36'
J1 League Gameweek 10
Apr 27, 2024 6.00am
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Denka Big Swan Stadium
  • Eiji Miyamoto 26' yellowcard
  • Eiji Miyamoto 26' yellowcard
  • Kazuhiko Chiba 34' yellowcard
  • Kazuhiko Chiba 34' yellowcard
  • Shusuke Ota 82' yellowcard
  • Shusuke Ota 82' yellowcard
  • Fumiya Hayakawa 90' goal
  • Fumiya Hayakawa 90' goal
  • goal Teruhito Nakagawa 39'
  • goal Teruhito Nakagawa 39'
  • goal Kosuke Shirai 49'
  • goal Kosuke Shirai 49'
  • goal Diego Oliveira 62'
  • goal Diego Oliveira 62'
J1 League Gameweek 32
Nov 11, 2023 5.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Denka Big Swan Stadium
  • Yuji Hoshi 23' yellowcard
  • Michael Fitzgerald 32' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kuryu Matsuki 44'
  • yellowcard Kei Koizumi 50'
J1 League Gameweek 10
Apr 29, 2023 7.00am
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Ajinomoto Stadium
  • Teruhito Nakagawa 8' goal
  • Diego Oliveira 34' goal
  • goal Ryotaro Ito 12'