Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 47.52%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 0-1 (7.22%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.