Ligue 2
Dec 6, 2025 1.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Khalil Fayad 39' yellowcard
  • Theo Chennahi 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Rayan Touzghar 17'
  • yellowcard Rayan Touzghar 23'
  • yellowcard Cheikh Fall 33'
  • yellowcard Cheikh Fall 34'
  • yellowcard Omar Sadik 41'
  • yellowcard Setigui Karamoko 85'
  • yellowcard Neil Glossoa 90'

Montpellier HSC vs Pau - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last game
Nov 24, 2025 7.45pm
Reims 2 - 0 Montpellier
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Alexandre Mendy

Pau

All competitions
Last game
Nov 21, 2025 7.00pm
Pau 1 - 2 Le Mans
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Giovani Versini

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 45.76%. A win for Pau had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Pau win was 0-1 (7.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result

Montpellier HSC 45.76%
Draw 24.94%
Pau 29.3%

Both Teams to Score: 

55.45%

Goals

Over 2.5 52.43%
Under 2.5 47.57%
Over 3.5 30.23%
Under 3.5 69.77%
Over 4.5 14.83%
Under 4.5 85.17%

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5 79.17%
Under 0.5 20.83%
Over 1.5 46.49%
Under 1.5 53.51%

Pau Goals

Over 0.5 70.04%
Under 0.5 29.96%
Over 1.5 33.93%
Under 1.5 66.07%

Score analysis

Montpellier HSC 45.76%
Draw 24.94%
Pau 29.3%
Montpellier HSC
1-0 @ 9.79%
2-1 @ 9.26%
2-0 @ 7.68%
3-1 @ 4.84%
3-0 @ 4.02%
3-2 @ 2.92%
4-1 @ 1.9%
4-0 @ 1.58%
4-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 45.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.8%
0-0 @ 6.24%
2-2 @ 5.58%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.94%
Pau
0-1 @ 7.52%
1-2 @ 7.11%
0-2 @ 4.53%
1-3 @ 2.86%
2-3 @ 2.24%
0-3 @ 1.82%
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 29.3%