Montpellier
Ligue 2
Dec 6, 2025 at 1pm UK
 

MontpellierMontpellier HSC
0-1
PauPau

FT(HT: 0-1)
Touzghar (17')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Montpellier HSC and Pau.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last Game: Grenoble 1-1 Montpellier
Saturday, December 13 at 1pm in Ligue 2
Next Game: Canet Roussillon vs. Montpellier
Saturday, December 20 at 5pm in Coupe de France

Pau

All competitions
Last Game: Pau 1-2 Amiens
Friday, December 12 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 45.76%. A win for Pau had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Pau win was 0-1 (7.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawPau
45.76%24.94%29.3%
Both teams to score 55.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.43%47.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.23%69.77%
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.17%20.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.49%53.51%
Pau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.04%29.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.93%66.07%
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 45.76%
    Pau 29.3%
    Draw 24.94%
Montpellier HSCDrawPau
1-0 @ 9.79%
2-1 @ 9.26%
2-0 @ 7.68%
3-1 @ 4.84%
3-0 @ 4.02%
3-2 @ 2.92%
4-1 @ 1.9%
4-0 @ 1.58%
4-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 45.76%
1-1 @ 11.8%
0-0 @ 6.24%
2-2 @ 5.58%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.94%
0-1 @ 7.52%
1-2 @ 7.11%
0-2 @ 4.53%
1-3 @ 2.86%
2-3 @ 2.24%
0-3 @ 1.82%
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 29.3%