Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Epitsentr Dunayivtsi win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for SK Poltava had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Epitsentr Dunayivtsi win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest SK Poltava win was 1-0 (10.58%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.