Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belshina win with a probability of 64.47%. A draw had a probability of 20.44% and a win for Smorgon had a probability of 15.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belshina win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.24%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%) , while for a Smorgon win it was 0-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.