Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win with a probability of 58.72%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Belshina had a probability of 19.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Belshina win it was 1-0 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtyor Soligorsk would win this match.