Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slutsk win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for Belshina had a probability of 27.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slutsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (8.63%). The likeliest Belshina win was 1-0 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.