Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 77.36%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Belshina had a probability of 7.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.83%) and 1-0 (10.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.98%), while for a Belshina win it was 0-1 (2.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Neman would win this match.