Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belshina win with a probability of 39.35%. A win for Naftan had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belshina win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Naftan win was 1-2 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.