Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 18
Aug 18, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Stadyen Atlant

Naftan
4 - 0
Energetik-BGU

Kirilenko (38'), Pranovich (45'), Panyukov (59', 72')
Kirilenko (47')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Makushinski (2')
Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between Naftan and Energetik-BGU.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gomel 3-2 Naftan
Saturday, August 12 at 4pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Slutsk 1-1 Energetik-BGU
Saturday, August 5 at 4pm in Belarusian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Energetik-BGU win with a probability of 44.34%. A win for Naftan had a probability of 28.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Energetik-BGU win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (8.31%). The likeliest Naftan win was 1-0 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
NaftanDrawEnergetik-BGU
28.78% (-0.112 -0.11)26.88% (-0.319 -0.32)44.34% (0.438 0.44)
Both teams to score 49.09% (0.86300000000001 0.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.32% (1.135 1.14)55.68% (-1.126 -1.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.17% (0.921 0.92)76.83% (-0.91300000000001 -0.91)
Naftan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.43% (0.51900000000001 0.52)34.57% (-0.511 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.71% (0.546 0.55)71.29% (-0.538 -0.54)
Energetik-BGU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.03% (0.736 0.74)24.97% (-0.727 -0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.38% (1.006 1.01)59.62% (-0.999 -1)
Score Analysis
    Naftan 28.78%
    Energetik-BGU 44.33%
    Draw 26.88%
NaftanDrawEnergetik-BGU
1-0 @ 9.17% (-0.274 -0.27)
2-1 @ 6.76% (0.036 0.04)
2-0 @ 4.87% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-1 @ 2.39% (0.045 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.66% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 28.78%
1-1 @ 12.72% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 8.63% (-0.383 -0.38)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.121 0.12)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 26.88%
0-1 @ 11.97% (-0.27 -0.27)
1-2 @ 8.83% (0.108 0.11)
0-2 @ 8.31% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.08% (0.134 0.13)
0-3 @ 3.84% (0.073 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.17% (0.1 0.1)
1-4 @ 1.42% (0.075 0.08)
0-4 @ 1.33% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 44.33%

Head to Head
Apr 9, 2023 1.45pm
Gameweek 3
Energetik-BGU
0-1
Naftan
Tamelo (48')
rhs 2.0


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