Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 13
Jun 25, 2023 at 7pm UK
Borisov Arena

BATE
1 - 2
Naftan

Bane (16')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pukhov (19'), Kirilenko (81')
Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between BATE Borisov and Naftan.

Form, Standings, Stats

BATE Borisov

All competitions
Last Game: Slutsk 1-0 BATE
Sunday, June 4 at 4pm in Belarusian Premier League

Naftan

All competitions
Last Game: Slutsk 3-1 Naftan
Saturday, June 10 at 2pm in Belarusian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 68.26%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Naftan had a probability of 13.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a Naftan win it was 0-1 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
BATE BorisovDrawNaftan
68.26% (0.236 0.24)18.71% (-0.112 -0.11)13.02% (-0.126 -0.13)
Both teams to score 50.48% (0.017999999999994 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.42% (0.21299999999999 0.21)41.57% (-0.213 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.02% (0.214 0.21)63.97% (-0.21599999999999 -0.22)
BATE Borisov Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.85% (0.12 0.12)11.15% (-0.12 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.38% (0.265 0.27)35.61% (-0.265 -0.27)
Naftan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.82% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)43.18% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.56% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)79.44% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    BATE Borisov 68.25%
    Naftan 13.03%
    Draw 18.71%
BATE BorisovDrawNaftan
2-0 @ 11.58%
1-0 @ 10.56% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.47% (0.045 0.04)
3-1 @ 7.11% (0.027 0.03)
4-0 @ 4.65% (0.047999999999999 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.9% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.99% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.04% (0.031 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.71% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.64% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 68.25%
1-1 @ 8.87% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.82% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.09% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 18.71%
0-1 @ 4.04% (-0.045000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 3.73% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.7% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.14% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.04% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 13.03%