Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 10
May 27, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadyen Atlant

Naftan
0 - 1
Isloch

FT(HT: 0-0)
Mitrofanov (66')
Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between Naftan and Isloch.

Form, Standings, Stats

Naftan

All competitions
Last Game: Torpedo-BelAZ 5-0 Naftan
Saturday, May 20 at 5pm in Belarusian Premier League

Isloch

All competitions
Last Game: Isloch 1-1 BATE
Saturday, May 20 at 3pm in Belarusian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Isloch win with a probability of 53.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Naftan had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Isloch win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.86%) and 1-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Naftan win it was 1-0 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Isloch in this match.

Result
NaftanDrawIsloch
22.3% (-0.16 -0.16)24.5% (-0.386 -0.39)53.21% (0.548 0.55)
Both teams to score 50.37% (0.949 0.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.85% (1.355 1.36)51.15% (-1.352 -1.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27% (1.176 1.18)73% (-1.174 -1.17)
Naftan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.32% (0.606 0.61)37.68% (-0.604 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.54% (0.585 0.59)74.46% (-0.58500000000001 -0.59)
Isloch Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.83% (0.745 0.75)19.17% (-0.744 -0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.16% (1.217 1.22)50.84% (-1.215 -1.22)
Score Analysis
    Naftan 22.3%
    Isloch 53.21%
    Draw 24.49%
NaftanDrawIsloch
1-0 @ 7.05% (-0.269 -0.27)
2-1 @ 5.68% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.44% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-1 @ 1.85% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.53% (0.063 0.06)
3-0 @ 1.12% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 22.3%
1-1 @ 11.64% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-0 @ 7.23% (-0.4 -0.4)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.119 0.12)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 24.49%
0-1 @ 11.93% (-0.37 -0.37)
0-2 @ 9.86% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
1-2 @ 9.62% (0.087 0.09)
0-3 @ 5.43% (0.085 0.09)
1-3 @ 5.3% (0.168 0.17)
2-3 @ 2.58% (0.123 0.12)
0-4 @ 2.24% (0.086 0.09)
1-4 @ 2.19% (0.118 0.12)
2-4 @ 1.07% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 53.21%