Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Minsk win with a probability of 65.04%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Naftan had a probability of 14.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Minsk win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.71%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a Naftan win it was 0-1 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Minsk would win this match.