Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 3
Apr 7, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Stadyen Junatstva

Smorgon
0 - 4
Isloch

FT(HT: 0-3)
Senko (17'), Rovdo (18'), Kwabena Adu (24', 60')
Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between Smorgon and Isloch.

Form, Standings, Stats

Smorgon

All competitions
Last Game: Torpedo-BelAZ 2-1 Smorgon
Saturday, April 1 at 2pm in Belarusian Premier League

Isloch

All competitions
Last Game: Isloch 3-0 Dinamo Brest
Saturday, April 1 at 4pm in Belarusian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Isloch win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for Smorgon had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Isloch win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Smorgon win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Isloch would win this match.

Result
SmorgonDrawIsloch
33.96% (-0.171 -0.17)27% (0.032 0.03)39.04% (0.138 0.14)
Both teams to score 50.69% (-0.132 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.45% (-0.154 -0.15)54.55% (0.153 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.1% (-0.128 -0.13)75.9% (0.129 0.13)
Smorgon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.68% (-0.18899999999999 -0.19)30.32% (0.187 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.49% (-0.224 -0.22)66.5% (0.224 0.22)
Isloch Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.75% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)27.25% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.32% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)62.68% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Smorgon 33.96%
    Isloch 39.04%
    Draw 26.99%
SmorgonDrawIsloch
1-0 @ 9.86% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.65% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.88% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.04% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.34% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.98% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 0.91% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 33.96%
1-1 @ 12.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.26% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.97% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.99%
0-1 @ 10.74% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.33% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.98% (0.044 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.61% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.03% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.17% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 0.98% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 39.04%

Head to Head
Jul 25, 2021 4pm
Smorgon
1-2
Isloch
Pasevich (59')
Zadi Zokou (32')
Lisakovich (6'), Dibango (80')
Patotsky (22'), Morozov (79')
Mar 19, 2021 6.15pm
Isloch
2-0
Smorgon
Komarovski (17', 50' pen.)
Kozyrenko (28'), Shalashnikov (70')

Kaborda (49'), M'pomezok (52')