Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Minsk win with a probability of 40.78%. A win for Smorgon had a probability of 32.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Minsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Smorgon win was 1-0 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.