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Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 7
May 7, 2023 at 4pm UK
Stadyen Junatstva

Smorgon
1 - 0
Naftan

Nuradin (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Kirilenko (77')
Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between Smorgon and Naftan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: BATE 2-0 Smorgon
Saturday, April 29 at 5pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Naftan 0-3 Dinamo Brest
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Belarusian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Smorgon win with a probability of 44.32%. A win for Naftan had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Smorgon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Naftan win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Smorgon in this match.

Result
SmorgonDrawNaftan
44.32% (-0.2 -0.2) 24.99% (0.183 0.18) 30.69% (0.026 0.03)
Both teams to score 56.07% (-0.596 -0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.89% (-0.784 -0.78)47.11% (0.794 0.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.65% (-0.734 -0.73)69.35% (0.744 0.74)
Smorgon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.72% (-0.414 -0.41)21.29% (0.423 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.78% (-0.65 -0.65)54.22% (0.659 0.66)
Naftan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.23% (-0.374 -0.37)28.77% (0.383 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.39% (-0.472 -0.47)64.61% (0.48099999999999 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Smorgon 44.32%
    Naftan 30.69%
    Draw 24.99%
SmorgonDrawNaftan
1-0 @ 9.47% (0.192 0.19)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.33% (0.056 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.71% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.78% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.079 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.82% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.46% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 44.32%
1-1 @ 11.8% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 6.12% (0.201 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.99%
0-1 @ 7.63% (0.171 0.17)
1-2 @ 7.35% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.75% (0.057 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.05% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.97% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 30.69%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Neman9702116521
2Torpedo-BelAZTorpedo-BelAZ9621103720
3Dinamo BrestDinamo Brest95402271519
4Dinamo Minsk95401551019
5Slavia MozyrSlavia Mozyr9513148616
6Vitebsk9423108214
7Gomel9342139413
8BATE BorisovBATE933389-112
9Arsenal Dzerzhinsk932468-211
10IslochIsloch924399010
11Smorgon9243917-810
12Naftan91531013-38
13Dnepr Mogilev9144410-67
14SlutskSlutsk9216614-87
15FC MinskFC Minsk9036615-93
16Shakhtyor SoligorskSoligorsk9117618-12-16


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