Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slavia Mozyr win with a probability of 45.87%. A win for Smorgon had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slavia Mozyr win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Smorgon win was 0-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Slavia Mozyr would win this match.