Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 68.43%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Belshina had a probability of 11.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.56%) and 1-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%), while for a Belshina win it was 1-0 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that BATE Borisov would win this match.