Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 57.42%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for FC Minsk had a probability of 17.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.15%) and 1-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a FC Minsk win it was 1-0 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.