Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 52.96%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Energetik-BGU had a probability of 22.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Energetik-BGU win it was 0-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.