Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Minsk win with a probability of 65.18%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Dnepr Mogilev had a probability of 15.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Minsk win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%), while for a Dnepr Mogilev win it was 0-1 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Minsk would win this match.