Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Minsk win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for Slavia Mozyr had a probability of 33.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Minsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Slavia Mozyr win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Minsk would win this match.