Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 48.59%. A win for FC Minsk had a probability of 26.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest FC Minsk win was 0-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.