Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Minsk win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for FC Minsk had a probability of 29.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Minsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest FC Minsk win was 0-1 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Minsk would win this match.