Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 13
Jul 4, 2022 at 4pm UK
 

Dnepr Mogilev
2 - 4
FC Minsk

Gusev (59'), Mokin (90+2')
Markov (27')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Shramchenko (11', 54', 67'), Khvashchinskiy (52')
Shramchenko (7')
Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between Dnepr Mogilev and FC Minsk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dnepr Mogilev

Last Six:
Last Game: Energetik-BGU 1-1 Dnepr Mogilev
Monday, June 27 at 4pm in Belarusian Premier League

FC Minsk

Last Six:
Last Game: FC Minsk 2-4 Belshina
Sunday, June 26 at 2pm in Belarusian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Minsk win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Dnepr Mogilev had a probability of 31.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Minsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Dnepr Mogilev win was 1-0 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Minsk would win this match.

Result
Dnepr MogilevDrawFC Minsk
31.8% (-0.404 -0.4)26.56% (0.209 0.21)41.65% (0.195 0.2)
Both teams to score 51.49% (-0.796 -0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.74% (-0.958 -0.96)53.26% (0.96 0.96)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.18% (-0.817 -0.82)74.81% (0.818 0.82)
Dnepr Mogilev Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.89% (-0.756 -0.76)31.11% (0.758 0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.56% (-0.891 -0.89)67.43% (0.893 0.89)
FC Minsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.75% (-0.33 -0.33)25.25% (0.332 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.99% (-0.458 -0.46)60% (0.458 0.46)
Score Analysis
    Dnepr Mogilev 31.8%
    FC Minsk 41.65%
    Draw 26.55%
Dnepr MogilevDrawFC Minsk
1-0 @ 9.17% (0.155 0.15)
2-1 @ 7.37% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-0 @ 5.36% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.87% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-0 @ 2.08% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.97% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 31.8%
1-1 @ 12.62% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 7.86% (0.292 0.29)
2-2 @ 5.07% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.55%
0-1 @ 10.81% (0.3 0.3)
1-2 @ 8.69% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.44% (0.138 0.14)
1-3 @ 3.99% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-3 @ 3.41% (0.031 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.077 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.37% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 41.65%