Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win with a probability of 49.39%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for FC Minsk had a probability of 24.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a FC Minsk win it was 0-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtyor Soligorsk would win this match.