Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win with a probability of 43.03%. A win for Isloch had a probability of 29.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Isloch win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shakhtyor Soligorsk in this match.