Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win with a probability of 57.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Slutsk had a probability of 17.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.94%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Slutsk win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtyor Soligorsk would win this match.