Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Slutsk had a probability of 30.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Slutsk win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torpedo-BelAZ would win this match.