Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slutsk win with a probability of 39.96%. A win for Vitebsk had a probability of 34.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slutsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Vitebsk win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.