Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win with a probability of 53.87%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Gomel had a probability of 20.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.04%) and 1-2 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Gomel win it was 1-0 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtyor Soligorsk would win this match.