Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 27, 2022 at 7pm UK
Stadyen Central'ny
Aris

Gomel
1 - 2
Aris

Gogolashvili (82' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gray (45', 90+3')
Mbakata (17'), Cheikh Diop (18'), Mazikou (33'), Doukoure (63'), Peersman (81'), Dabo (90')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Gomel and Aris Thessaloniki.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aris 5-1 Gomel
Thursday, July 21 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 44.32%. A win for Gomel had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Gomel win was 2-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Aris Thessaloniki in this match.

Result
GomelDrawAris Thessaloniki
31.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)23.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)44.32% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Both teams to score 60.14% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58% (0.021000000000001 0.02)42% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.6% (0.021999999999998 0.02)64.4% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Gomel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.41% (0.010000000000005 0.01)25.59% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.53% (0.010999999999996 0.01)60.46% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Aris Thessaloniki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.82% (0.013999999999996 0.01)19.18% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.15% (0.020000000000003 0.02)50.85% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Gomel 31.71%
    Aris Thessaloniki 44.32%
    Draw 23.96%
GomelDrawAris Thessaloniki
2-1 @ 7.53% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 6.69% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 4.56% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.82% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 31.71%
1-1 @ 11.04%
2-2 @ 6.22% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.91% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.56% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.96%
1-2 @ 9.12% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-1 @ 8.1% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.69% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 5.02% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 3.68% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 3.42% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 2.07% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-4 @ 1.52% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.41% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 44.32%

How you voted: Gomel vs Aris

Gomel
7.7%
Draw
23.1%
Aris Thessaloniki
69.2%
13
Head to Head
Jul 21, 2022 7pm
Aris
5-1
Gomel
Gray (16' pen., 79'), Iturbe (28'), Camacho (31'), Palma (61')
Leismann (11' og.)
Makas (33'), Anufriev (45+1'), Sedko (75')