Aris Thessaloniki vs Neftchi Baku - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 48.08%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Neftchi Baku had a probability of 25.12%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Neftchi Baku win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aris Thessaloniki would win this match.