Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 21, 2022 at 6.30pm UK
Tsirion Athlítiko Kentro
Aris2 - 0Neftchi Baku
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Aris Thessaloniki and Neftchi Baku.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: PAS Giannina 0-3 Aris
Tuesday, May 17 at 6pm in Greek Superleague
Tuesday, May 17 at 6pm in Greek Superleague
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | AEK Athens | 25 | 13 | 43 |
| 4 | Aris Thessaloniki | 25 | 6 | 42 |
| 5 | Panathinaikos | 25 | 18 | 39 |
Last Game: Maccabi Haifa 4-0 Neftchi Baku
Thursday, August 26 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, August 26 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 48.08%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Neftchi Baku had a probability of 25.12%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Neftchi Baku win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aris Thessaloniki would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aris Thessaloniki | Draw | Neftchi Baku |
48.08% ( 0.1) | 26.8% ( -0.03) | 25.12% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 46.71% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
