Europa League
Aug 12, 2021 5.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Bolt Arena
  • Riku Riski 46' goal
  • Roope Riski 60' goal
  • Riku Riski 79' yellowcard
  • Daniel O'Shaughnessy 84' yellowcard
  • Roope Riski 89' goal
  • yellowcard Mamadou Mbodj 60'
  • yellowcard Harramiz 66'
  • yellowcard Xayal Nacafov 83'

HJK Helsinki vs Neftchi Baku - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

HJK Helsinki

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Aug 3, 2021 6.00pm
Neftchi Baku 2 - 2 HJK Helsinki

Neftchi Baku

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Aug 3, 2021 6.00pm
Neftchi Baku 2 - 2 HJK Helsinki

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 47.76%. A win for Neftchi Baku had a probability of 27.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Neftchi Baku win was 0-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.

Result

HJK Helsinki 47.76%
Draw 24.64%
Neftchi Baku 27.6%

Both Teams to Score: 

55.24%

Goals

Over 2.5 52.7%
Under 2.5 47.3%
Over 3.5 30.47%
Under 3.5 69.52%

HJK Helsinki Goals

Over 0.5 80.13%
Under 0.5 19.87%
Over 1.5 48.02%
Under 1.5 51.97%

Neftchi Baku Goals

Over 0.5 68.93%
Under 0.5 31.07%
Over 1.5 32.61%
Under 1.5 67.38%

Score analysis

HJK Helsinki 47.76%
Draw 24.64%
Neftchi Baku 27.6%
HJK Helsinki
1-0 @ 9.98%
2-1 @ 9.42%
2-0 @ 8.06%
3-1 @ 5.08%
3-0 @ 4.34%
3-2 @ 2.97%
4-1 @ 2.05%
4-0 @ 1.75%
4-2 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 47.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.66%
0-0 @ 6.17%
2-2 @ 5.51%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.64%
Neftchi Baku
0-1 @ 7.22%
1-2 @ 6.82%
0-2 @ 4.22%
1-3 @ 2.66%
2-3 @ 2.15%
0-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 27.6%

Head to Head

Europa League
Aug 3, 2021 6.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Bakcell Arena
  • Xayal Nacafov 20' yellowcard
  • Sabir Bougrine 59' goal
  • Harramiz 62' yellowcard
  • Emin Mahmudov 80' goal
  • Fahmin Muradbayli 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luis Carlos Murillo 50'
  • goal Roope Riski 61'
  • goal Jair 65'
  • yellowcard Matti Peltola 80'
  • yellowcard Miro Tenho 83'
  • yellowcard Riku Riski 90'+1'