Champions League
Jul 14, 2021 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Bakcell Arena
  • Cesar Daniel Meza Colli 22' yellowcard
  • Mamadou Mbodj 55' yellowcard
  • Emin Mahmudov 58' goal
  • Yusuf Lawal 64' yellowcard
  • Namiq Alasgarov 68' goal
  • Omar Buludov 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Milan Radin 45'
  • goal Milan Radin 51'
  • yellowcard Giorgi Gabedava 52'
  • yellowcard Giorgi Kutsia 64'
  • yellowcard Simon Gbegnon 71'
  • yellowcard Tornike Morchiladze 83'
  • yellowcard Nodar Iashvili 90'+1'

Neftchi Baku vs Dinamo Tbilisi - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Neftchi Baku

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jul 7, 2021 5.00pm
Dinamo Tbilisi 1 - 2 Neftchi Baku

Dinamo Tbilisi

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jul 7, 2021 5.00pm
Dinamo Tbilisi 1 - 2 Neftchi Baku

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neftchi Baku win with a probability of 47.41%. A win for Dinamo Tbilisi had a probability of 29.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Neftchi Baku win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Dinamo Tbilisi win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Neftchi Baku in this match.

Result

Neftchi Baku 47.41%
Draw 23.47%
Dinamo Tbilisi 29.12%

Both Teams to Score: 

60.38%

Goals

Over 2.5 58.97%
Under 2.5 41.02%
Over 3.5 36.58%
Under 3.5 63.41%

Neftchi Baku Goals

Over 0.5 82.45%
Under 0.5 17.54%
Over 1.5 51.92%
Under 1.5 48.08%

Dinamo Tbilisi Goals

Over 0.5 73.23%
Under 0.5 26.77%
Over 1.5 37.95%
Under 1.5 62.04%

Score analysis

Neftchi Baku 47.41%
Draw 23.47%
Dinamo Tbilisi 29.12%
Neftchi Baku
2-1 @ 9.37%
1-0 @ 8.17%
2-0 @ 7.11%
3-1 @ 5.44%
3-0 @ 4.13%
3-2 @ 3.58%
4-1 @ 2.37%
4-0 @ 1.8%
4-2 @ 1.56%
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 47.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.77%
2-2 @ 6.18%
0-0 @ 4.7%
3-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.47%
Dinamo Tbilisi
1-2 @ 7.1%
0-1 @ 6.19%
0-2 @ 4.08%
1-3 @ 3.12%
2-3 @ 2.71%
0-3 @ 1.79%
1-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 29.12%

Head to Head

Champions League
Jul 7, 2021 5.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena
  • Zoran Marusic 36' goal
  • Bakar Kardava 84' yellowcard
  • goal Namiq Alasgarov 23'
  • goal Emin Mahmudov 57'
  • yellowcard Yusuf Lawal 77'