Europa League | Second Qualifying Round
Sep 17, 2020 at 5pm UK
Bakcell Arena
Neftchi Baku1 - 3Galatasaray
Coverage of the Europa League Second Qualifying Round clash between Neftchi Baku and Galatasaray.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neftchi Baku win with a probability of 37.86%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 37.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neftchi Baku win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.88%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 1-2 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Neftchi Baku | Draw | Galatasaray |
37.86% | 24.66% | 37.48% |
Both teams to score 59% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.93% | 44.07% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.55% | 66.45% |
Neftchi Baku Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.91% | 23.09% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.06% | 56.94% |
Galatasaray Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.71% | 23.29% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.77% | 57.23% |
Score Analysis |
Neftchi Baku 37.86%
Galatasaray 37.48%
Draw 24.66%
Neftchi Baku | Draw | Galatasaray |
2-1 @ 8.42% 1-0 @ 7.88% 2-0 @ 5.78% 3-1 @ 4.11% 3-2 @ 3% 3-0 @ 2.82% 4-1 @ 1.51% 4-2 @ 1.1% 4-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.21% Total : 37.86% | 1-1 @ 11.48% 2-2 @ 6.13% 0-0 @ 5.38% 3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.66% | 1-2 @ 8.37% 0-1 @ 7.84% 0-2 @ 5.71% 1-3 @ 4.07% 2-3 @ 2.98% 0-3 @ 2.77% 1-4 @ 1.48% 2-4 @ 1.09% 0-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.17% Total : 37.48% |
Form Guide
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Lions
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 36 |
2 | Chelsea | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 31 |
3 | Arsenal | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 30 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 28 |
5 | Manchester CityMan City | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 27 |
6 | Aston Villa | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 25 |
7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 24 |
8 | Bournemouth | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 24 |
9 | Fulham | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 24 |
10 | Brentford | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 23 |
11 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 23 |
12 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 20 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 19 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 18 |
15 | Everton | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 15 |
16 | Leicester CityLeicester | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
17 | Crystal Palace | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 13 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 9 |
20 | Southampton | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 5 |
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