Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 21, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki
Olympiacos1 - 0Neftchi Baku
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 58.51%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Neftchi Baku had a probability of 20.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.64%) and 1-0 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Neftchi Baku win it was 1-2 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Olympiacos | Draw | Neftchi Baku |
| 58.51% | 20.98% | 20.51% |
| Both teams to score 59.38% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
