Champions League

Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Jul 21, 2021 at 8pm UK

Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki

Olympiacos
1 - 0
Neftchi Baku

(Olympiacos win 2-0 on aggregate)

Camara (29')
Bouchalakis (8'), Markovic (72'), Sourlis (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Alasgarov (22'), Mahmudov (53')
Celik (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Olympiacos and Neftchi Baku, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 58.51%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Neftchi Baku had a probability of 20.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.64%) and 1-0 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Neftchi Baku win it was 1-2 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.

Result
Olympiacos	Draw	Neftchi Baku
58.51%	20.98%	20.51%

Both teams to score 59.38%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.02%

37.98%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.76%

60.24%

Olympiacos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.24%

12.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.97%

39.03%

Neftchi Baku Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.06%

31.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.61%

68.39%

Score Analysis

Olympiacos 58.51%

Neftchi Baku 20.51%

Draw 20.98%

Olympiacos	Draw	Neftchi Baku
2-1 @ 9.86% 2-0 @ 8.64% 1-0 @ 8.39% 3-1 @ 6.77% 3-0 @ 5.93% 3-2 @ 3.86% 4-1 @ 3.48% 4-0 @ 3.05% 4-2 @ 1.99% 5-1 @ 1.43% 5-0 @ 1.26% Other @ 3.85% Total : 58.51%	1-1 @ 9.58% 2-2 @ 5.63% 0-0 @ 4.07% 3-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 0.24% Total : 20.98%	1-2 @ 5.47% 0-1 @ 4.65% 0-2 @ 2.65% 2-3 @ 2.14% 1-3 @ 2.08% 0-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.51% Total : 20.51%

How you voted: Olympiacos vs Neftchi Baku

Olympiacos

83.3%

Draw

10.7%

Neftchi Baku

6.0%