Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gomel win with a probability of 60.41%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Dnepr Mogilev had a probability of 17.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gomel win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.65%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Dnepr Mogilev win it was 1-0 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gomel would win this match.