Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slavia Mozyr win with a probability of 43.36%. A win for Dnepr Mogilev had a probability of 30.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slavia Mozyr win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Dnepr Mogilev win was 1-0 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Slavia Mozyr would win this match.