Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 12

Jun 26, 2022 at 6pm UK

City Stadium

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
3 - 2
Slavia Mozyr

Khvalko (14'), Skshinecki (45+1'), Matsiash (59')
Khvalko (39'), Senko (75'), Suscha (90+1'), Osipenko (90+2'), Abramovich (90+5')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Barsukov (3'), Cobet (66')
Chukhley (54'), Zherdev (73'), Bugulov (90+5')

Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between Arsenal Dzerzhinsk and Slavia Mozyr.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slavia Mozyr win with a probability of 41.55%. A win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slavia Mozyr win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win was 1-0 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk	Draw	Slavia Mozyr
30.43% ( -0.9)	28.02% ( 0.22)	41.55% ( 0.68)

Both teams to score 46.65% (

-0.95)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.84% (

-1.04)

59.16% (

1.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.4% (

-0.81)

79.59% (

0.81)

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.83% (

-1.21)

35.16% (

1.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.08% (

-1.29)

71.91% (

1.29)

Slavia Mozyr Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.96% (

-0.12)

28.04% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.31% (

-0.15)

63.69% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 30.42%

Slavia Mozyr 41.55%

Draw 28.01%

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk	Draw	Slavia Mozyr
1-0 @ 10.3% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.11% Total : 30.42%	1-1 @ 13.1% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.86% ( 0.38) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.01%	0-1 @ 12.53% ( 0.44) 1-2 @ 8.33% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.97% ( 0.26) 1-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.77% Total : 41.55%