Neman

2 - 0

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 50.81%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 23.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for an Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win it was 0-1 (8.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Neman would win this match.