Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 4
Apr 16, 2022 at 1pm UK
Torpedo Stadium

Torpedo-BelAZ
1 - 0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

Chizh (34')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kaplunov (86'), Khvalko (90+4')
Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between Torpedo-BelAZ and Arsenal Dzerzhinsk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Torpedo-BelAZ

Last Six:
Last Game: Torpedo-BelAZ 3-4 Dinamo Minsk
Saturday, May 28 at 3pm in Belarusian Premier League
Next Game: Vitebsk vs. Torpedo-BelAZ
Friday, June 17 at 6pm in Belarusian Premier League

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

Last Six:
Last Game: FC Minsk 2-0 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Thursday, May 26 at 4pm in Belarusian Premier League
Next Game: Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs. Soligorsk
Sunday, June 19 at 2pm in Belarusian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 29.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Torpedo-BelAZ in this match.

Result
Torpedo-BelAZDrawArsenal Dzerzhinsk
43.05%27.35%29.6%
Both teams to score 48.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.95%57.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.06%77.94%
Torpedo-BelAZ Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.75%26.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.64%61.36%
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.33%34.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.6%71.39%
Score Analysis
    Torpedo-BelAZ 43.05%
    Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 29.6%
    Draw 27.34%
Torpedo-BelAZDrawArsenal Dzerzhinsk
1-0 @ 12.17%
2-1 @ 8.62%
2-0 @ 8.14%
3-1 @ 3.85%
3-0 @ 3.63%
3-2 @ 2.04%
4-1 @ 1.29%
4-0 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 43.05%
1-1 @ 12.89%
0-0 @ 9.1%
2-2 @ 4.57%
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.34%
0-1 @ 9.64%
1-2 @ 6.83%
0-2 @ 5.11%
1-3 @ 2.41%
0-3 @ 1.8%
2-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 29.6%