Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Energetik-BGU win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Slavia Mozyr had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Energetik-BGU win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Slavia Mozyr win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Energetik-BGU would win this match.