Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 14

Jul 10, 2022 at 3pm UK

City Stadium

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
1 - 0
Dnepr Mogilev

Sazanovich (6')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bordukov (73')

Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between Arsenal Dzerzhinsk and Dnepr Mogilev.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win with a probability of 45.63%. A win for Dnepr Mogilev had a probability of 28.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Dnepr Mogilev win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk in this match.

Result
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk	Draw	Dnepr Mogilev
45.63% ( -0.18)	26.22% ( 0.26)	28.15% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 50.69% (

-0.86)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.57% (

-1.08)

53.43% (

1.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.04% (

-0.92)

74.96% (

0.92)

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.64% (

-0.55)

23.36% (

0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.67% (

-0.8)

57.33% (

0.8)

Dnepr Mogilev Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.14% (

-0.64)

33.86% (

0.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.47% (

-0.7)

70.52% (

0.7)

Score Analysis

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 45.62%

Dnepr Mogilev 28.15%

Draw 26.21%

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk	Draw	Dnepr Mogilev
1-0 @ 11.49% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.39% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 4.05% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.82% Total : 45.62%	1-1 @ 12.45% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.21%	0-1 @ 8.57% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 6.75% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.33% Total : 28.15%