Belarusian Premier League Gameweek 14
Jul 10, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Stanislav Sazanovich 6' goal
  • yellowcard Pavel Bordukov 73'

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs Dnepr Mogilev - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

All competitions
Belarusian Premier League
Last game
Jul 2, 2022 3.00pm
Belshina 1 - 0 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Artem Kiyko

Dnepr Mogilev

All competitions
Belarusian Premier League
Last game
Jul 4, 2022 4.00pm
Dnepr Mogilev 2 - 4 FC Minsk
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Kirill Gusev

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win with a probability of 45.63%. A win for Dnepr Mogilev had a probability of 28.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Dnepr Mogilev win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk in this match.

Result

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 45.63% (-0.18)
Draw 26.22% (+0.27)
Dnepr Mogilev 28.15% (-0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.69% (-0.86)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.57% (-1.09)
Under 2.5 53.43% (+1.09)
Over 3.5 25.04% (-0.93)
Under 3.5 74.96% (+0.93)

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals

Over 0.5 76.64% (-0.55)
Under 0.5 23.36% (+0.55)
Over 1.5 42.67% (-0.81)
Under 1.5 57.33% (+0.81)

Dnepr Mogilev Goals

Over 0.5 66.14% (-0.64)
Under 0.5 33.86% (+0.64)
Over 1.5 29.47% (-0.70)
Under 1.5 70.52% (+0.70)

Score analysis

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 45.62%
Draw 26.21%
Dnepr Mogilev 28.15%
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
1-0 @ 11.49% (+0.31)
2-1 @ 9.06% (-0.07)
2-0 @ 8.36% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 4.39% (-0.11)
3-0 @ 4.05% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.10)
4-1 @ 1.6% (-0.07)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 45.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.45% (+0.11)
0-0 @ 7.91% (+0.34)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.13)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.21%
Dnepr Mogilev
0-1 @ 8.57% (+0.22)
1-2 @ 6.75% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 4.64% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.44% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 1.77% (-0.08)
0-3 @ 1.68% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 28.15%