Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 13
Jul 2, 2022 at 3pm UK
Spartak Stadium

Belshina
1 - 0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

Chesnokov (36')
Rodionov (29'), Hurenka (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sazanovich (18'), Lyakh (22'), Kontsevoy (49'), Osipenko (86')
Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between Belshina and Arsenal Dzerzhinsk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Belshina

Last Six:
Last Game: FC Minsk 2-4 Belshina
Sunday, June 26 at 2pm in Belarusian Premier League

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

Last Six:
Last Game: Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 3-2 Slavia Mozyr
Sunday, June 26 at 6pm in Belarusian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belshina win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belshina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win was 0-1 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Belshina in this match.

Result
BelshinaDrawArsenal Dzerzhinsk
39.41% (-0.835 -0.84)26.65% (-0.142 -0.14)33.94% (0.975 0.98)
Both teams to score 51.79% (0.67299999999999 0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.85% (0.753 0.75)53.15% (-0.755 -0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.27% (0.637 0.64)74.73% (-0.63800000000001 -0.64)
Belshina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.6% (-0.10600000000001 -0.11)26.4% (0.104 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.44% (-0.141 -0.14)61.56% (0.14 0.14)
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.36% (1.013 1.01)29.64% (-1.014 -1.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.32% (1.215 1.22)65.68% (-1.217 -1.22)
Score Analysis
    Belshina 39.41%
    Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 33.94%
    Draw 26.65%
BelshinaDrawArsenal Dzerzhinsk
1-0 @ 10.42% (-0.34 -0.34)
2-1 @ 8.44% (-0.065 -0.06)
2-0 @ 6.94% (-0.252 -0.25)
3-1 @ 3.75% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.08% (-0.121 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.039 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 39.41%
1-1 @ 12.67% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 7.82% (-0.236 -0.24)
2-2 @ 5.13% (0.104 0.1)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 9.51% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.71% (0.179 0.18)
0-2 @ 5.79% (0.152 0.15)
1-3 @ 3.12% (0.157 0.16)
0-3 @ 2.35% (0.124 0.12)
2-3 @ 2.08% (0.098 0.1)
1-4 @ 0.95% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 33.94%