Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 18

Aug 21, 2022 at 12pm UK

City Stadium

BATE
2 - 1
Dnepr Mogilev

Malkevich (26'), Shumanskiy (89')
Oreshkevich (39'), Nekrasov (74')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Volkov (28')
Nemirko (16'), Kapov (37'), Fedyanin (66'), Firsov (78')

Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between BATE Borisov and Dnepr Mogilev.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 64.88%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Dnepr Mogilev had a probability of 14.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.41%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a Dnepr Mogilev win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that BATE Borisov would win this match.

Result
BATE Borisov	Draw	Dnepr Mogilev
64.88% ( -0.45)	20.36% ( 0.16)	14.77% ( 0.29)

Both teams to score 49.68% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.92% (

-0.11)

45.08% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.57% (

-0.1)

67.43% (

0.11)

BATE Borisov Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.88% (

-0.16)

13.12% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.23% (

-0.34)

39.78% (

0.34)

Dnepr Mogilev Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.19% (

0.35)

42.81% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.87% (

0.29)

79.13% (

-0.29)

Score Analysis

BATE Borisov 64.87%

Dnepr Mogilev 14.77%

Draw 20.36%

BATE Borisov	Draw	Dnepr Mogilev
2-0 @ 11.58% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 11.41% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.96% Total : 64.87%	1-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.89% Total : 20.36%	0-1 @ 4.77% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.53% Total : 14.77%