Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belshina win with a probability of 48.86%. A win for Dnepr Mogilev had a probability of 26.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belshina win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Dnepr Mogilev win was 1-0 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.