Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 15
Jul 15, 2022 at 4pm UK
City Stadium

BATE
1 - 2
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

Malkevich (14')
Bordachev (43'), Malkevich (78')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Vaskov (11'), Guletskiy (41')
Khvalko (23')
Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between BATE Borisov and Arsenal Dzerzhinsk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Minsk 2-2 BATE
Saturday, July 9 at 5pm in Belarusian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 66.59%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 12.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.8%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for an Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win it was 0-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
BATE BorisovDrawArsenal Dzerzhinsk
66.59% (-0.179 -0.18)21.01% (0.033999999999999 0.03)12.4% (0.149 0.15)
Both teams to score 41.53% (0.299 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.33% (0.17400000000001 0.17)52.67% (-0.169 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.69% (0.15 0.15)74.31% (-0.14599999999999 -0.15)
BATE Borisov Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.99% (0.0019999999999953 0)15.01% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.53% (0.0019999999999953 0)43.47% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.86% (0.354 0.35)51.14% (-0.35 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.57% (0.238 0.24)85.43% (-0.23400000000001 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    BATE Borisov 66.58%
    Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 12.4%
    Draw 21.02%
BATE BorisovDrawArsenal Dzerzhinsk
1-0 @ 14.55% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-0 @ 13.8% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.26% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 8.73% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.85% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.14% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.78% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.96% (0.026 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.57% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.05% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 66.58%
1-1 @ 9.76% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.67% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.1% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 21.02%
0-1 @ 5.15% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 3.27% (0.044 0.04)
0-2 @ 1.73% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 12.4%