Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 16

Aug 7, 2022 at 2pm UK

Gomel
4 - 1
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

Baga (17'), Pantya (52'), Sedko (54'), Kozlovskiy (84')
Costrov (43'), Makas (45')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Matsiash (71')
Boudega (60'), Lyakh (90+3')

Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between Gomel and Arsenal Dzerzhinsk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gomel win with a probability of 45.76%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 26.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gomel win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.99%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for an Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win it was 0-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gomel would win this match.

Result
Gomel	Draw	Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
45.76% ( -0.08)	27.45% ( 0.07)	26.78% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 46.23% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.28% (

-0.25)

58.72% (

0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.74% (

-0.19)

79.25% (

0.2)

Gomel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.37% (

-0.15)

25.63% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.47% (

-0.21)

60.53% (

0.21)

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.17% (

-0.13)

37.83% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.39% (

-0.13)

74.61% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Gomel 45.76%

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 26.78%

Draw 27.45%

Gomel	Draw	Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
1-0 @ 13.2% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 8.99% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.14% Total : 45.76%	1-1 @ 12.83% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.45%	0-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.66% Total : 26.78%