Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 43.03%. A win for Slavia Mozyr had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Slavia Mozyr win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Neman would win this match.